{"id":528,"date":"2021-06-24T08:37:17","date_gmt":"2021-06-24T08:37:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/?p=528"},"modified":"2021-06-24T09:02:52","modified_gmt":"2021-06-24T09:02:52","slug":"the-future-is-plural-unpredictable-and-rarely-a-linear-path-from-the-present","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/2021\/06\/24\/the-future-is-plural-unpredictable-and-rarely-a-linear-path-from-the-present\/","title":{"rendered":"The future is plural, unpredictable and rarely a linear path from the present!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Vision:<\/b>\u00a0the ability to \u201cthink about or plan for the future, using intelligence and imagination\u201d, an \u201cidea or hope of how something should be done, or how it will be in the future\u201d and simply the \u201cability to see\u201d- <b>MacMillan Dictionary<span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">.<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p>The pandemic has taught that foreseeing can be more useful than forecasting. Hindsight is literally 2020 and as for 2021\u2026 Well, you have a choice to make: be a hapless passenger relinquishing responsibility for your emotions, feelings and outcomes to other people or choose to be a leader every single day, making a positive impact on those around you and taking accountability in every moment for your own beliefs and actions.<\/p>\n<p>Easier said than done. <b><i>Confusion and decision paralysis<\/i><\/b> permeate most marketing departments, agencies and publishers \u2013 all carefully threading reality, with a little help from the past. But, as we now know, <u><b><i>using the past to project the future is a fallacy.<\/i><\/b> <\/u><strong>The psychological biases binding us to the present and blinding us<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0from the future.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><b>Bounded rationality<\/b>: challenges the notion of human rationality as implied by the concept of <i><b>homo economicus<\/b><\/i>. Rationality is bounded because there are limits to our thinking capacity, available information and time.<\/p>\n<p><b>Hyperbolic discounting<\/b>: refers to the tendency for people to increasingly <i><b>choose a smaller-sooner reward over a larger-later reward<\/b><\/i> as the delay occurs sooner rather than later in time.<\/p>\n<p><b>Availability bias<\/b>: the human tendency to think that examples of things that come readily to mind are more representative than is actually the case, hampering critical thinking and, as a result, the validity of our decisions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p2\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><b>The present-forward fallacy<\/b>: the seductive notion that an existing business can be extended out in time indefinitely by continuously making improvements to it. Read more in my post on this at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/?s=future+back\">https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/?s=future+back<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><b>Tyranny of the urgent<\/b>: an analysis of the calendars of 27 CEOs over a full quarter showed that, on average, they had 37 meetings per week, which took up to 72 percent of their time. <b><i>Is it any<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>wonder they have so little time to imagine a better future<\/i><\/b>?<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><b><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">The bridge linking \u2018what is\u2019 with \u2018what could be\u2019 is<u> intention<\/u><u>.<\/u> Therefore, rather than strategizing on \u2018how to better play today\u2019s game\u2019, the big question for brands and organizations becomes \u2018what is the game we intend to play to prosper tomorrow?\u2019<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Ultimately, it is about having the courage to pave a way that others have not dared to take before.<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span>Into the future, and through the predicted challenges of the next few years, <b>great leadership will be our only salvation<\/b>. The good news is that we all have the ability to be great leaders <b><i>if we allow true character to overtake the fear and insecurity that form the veneer of our professional personas.<\/i><\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">\u2018What are you on the planet to do and what legacy will you leave?\u2019 This direction comes from a firm belief that our industry influences the minds of every citizen of the planet, with the means to influence other people\u2019s choices, decisions, beliefs and behaviours. It has the power to influence political outcomes, corporate success or failure, and galvanise people behind causes of any kind. Therefore, the talent within marketing, media and advertising are in the \u2018leadership\u2019 business with an unsurpassed privilege that is not to be underestimated. This kind<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>of power has the potential to be harmful unless wielded with the \u2018right\u2019 moral intent, finely tuned capability, deep wisdom, and ethical awareness.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">I firmly hold the belief that every person is born a potential leader, hardwired to rely both psychologically and physiologically on other human beings. Born sociable, no baby is a loner. We are not born haters \u2013 or racist, homophobic or misogynistic. No, <i><b>we\u2019re all born leaders<\/b><\/i> \u2013 with the ability to influence those around us. Who doesn\u2019t automatically smile at a smiling baby? Or laugh when you hear them giggle? <i><b>That\u2019s influence<\/b><\/i>, right there.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><b><u><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">Listen More, Listen Better.<\/span><\/u><\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p2\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">The sheer volume of data and insight at marketers\u2019 fingertips is a formidable<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0thing.\u00a0<\/span>Marketers can hold a customer\u2019s heartbeat in the palm of their hand and have the ability to foresee when their blood pressure is going up or down. But <i><b>only if we listen<\/b><\/i>. And who was ever taught how to listen ? <b>Since the invention of Gutenberg\u2019s printing press our ears have been replaced by our eyes, an oral culture of shared stories has been taken over by a visual culture of representative images.<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p2\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">We\u2019re all really good at paying \u2018<b><i>ear service<\/i><\/b>\u2019 (the art of being seen\u00a0to listen, while simultaneously reading an email, sending a text and thinking about next door\u2019s cat) and then <b><i>choosing to hear only the things that fit our own narrative<\/i><\/b> (which we are extremely skilled at listening to). If you don\u2019t seek to truly hear what is being said right now, then you\u2019ll fill the gaps based on your own past experiences and patterns from which you\u2019ll create future expectations predicated on your almost subconscious assumptions. This is the opposite of good leadership.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p2\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><b>Don&#8217;t focus on what you can get; Focus only on what you can give<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">Well, here is the real truth. We can\u2019t control what we get. We only have control over what we give.<span class=\"gmail-Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>\u201c<b><i>Great leaders are exhausted every day, not because of how hard they\u2019ve worked but because of how much they\u2019ve given.\u201d<\/i><\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">It sounds easy, and it is, but only if you consciously let go of the notion that you are in any way in control of what you get from others.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">How many of us want to get more business from our clients, the next promotion, more discounts from our suppliers, more output from our teams, more love from our partners and more joy in our lives? We are apt to think about what we want to get and, if we don\u2019t, we feel frustrated, disempowered, resentful\u2026 and then put the blame for those feelings directly on others.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">Change the way you think to: what can I give my team to enable them to deliver their goals? How can I support my boss in a way that may make their job a little easier? What can I give to my clients to ensure that they can succeed? What can I do for my suppliers to make it easier for them to manage our relationship? What actions can I take to ensure those I love feel that love every single day? What can I give to the people around me to bring a little joy into their lives today? Because you have 100 percent control over what you give.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">The key, therefore, is <b><i>to learn to rejoice in being and leading uncomfortably. That\u2019s when great leadership becomes the mechanism to transform countries, businesses and people.<\/i><\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\"><b><span style=\"font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\">Future back is a competence that can be developed by first crafting a vision and then threading it back to the present.\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><strong>Visioning<\/strong>, in a business context, is about having a clear worldview on the markets of the future and the role that your organisation can play in that new and different world. Having a really powerful vision can unleash the potential to transform whole industries. When we call a business leader a visionary, we mean they have a vivid understanding of their organisation\u2019s <strong>best possible future<\/strong> \u2013 one that can potentially transform whole industries. <em><strong>Vision is the \u2018what\u2019 not the \u2018how\u2019<\/strong><\/em>. Vision is made actionable through strategy, which is the means to achieve it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ENDS<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"gmail-p1\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vision:\u00a0the ability to \u201cthink about or plan for the future, using intelligence and imagination\u201d, an \u201cidea or hope of how something should be done, or how it will be in the future\u201d and simply the \u201cability to see\u201d- MacMillan Dictionary. The pandemic has taught that foreseeing can be more useful than forecasting. Hindsight is literally &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/2021\/06\/24\/the-future-is-plural-unpredictable-and-rarely-a-linear-path-from-the-present\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The future is plural, unpredictable and rarely a linear path from the present!&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[873,872,14,875,870,877,440,575,868,278,47,865,577,74,867,869,876,576,871,878,874,93],"class_list":["post-528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-availability-bias","tag-bounded-rationality","tag-brands","tag-courage","tag-critical-thinking","tag-decision-paralysis","tag-future","tag-future-back","tag-giving","tag-imagination","tag-intelligence","tag-intention","tag-leaders","tag-leadership","tag-macmillan-dictionary","tag-organizations","tag-pandemic","tag-present-forward","tag-prosper","tag-rationality","tag-tyranny-of-the-urgent","tag-vision"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=528"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/528\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":530,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/528\/revisions\/530"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}