{"id":2500,"date":"2026-03-02T14:38:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:38:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/?p=2500"},"modified":"2026-03-02T14:38:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:38:35","slug":"are-you-painting-the-possible-or-polishing-the-predictable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/2026\/03\/02\/are-you-painting-the-possible-or-polishing-the-predictable\/","title":{"rendered":"Are You Painting the Possible or Polishing the Predictable?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Before you get to work, it\u2019s worth deciding which hat you\u2019re being asked to wear\u2026 pursuing the possible or optimizing the certain.<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">Let\u2019s start with a funeral. Not to be morbid, but to make a point.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">In the summer of 2017, the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Indian Railways<\/em><\/span>\u2014that 170-year-old behemoth of British-era engineering\u2014did something unthinkable. They cancelled 500 trains. Not because of a strike, not because of a monsoon fury, but because they were\u00a0<em>choosing<\/em>\u00a0to.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">For decades, the mandate was simple: Run on time. Optimize the coal, optimize the tracks, optimize the schedules. The Indian Railways wore the &#8220;Optimizer\u2019s Hat&#8221; so well that it became synonymous with the organization itself. But in 2017, they realized that to make way for the &#8220;Possible&#8221;\u2014high-speed corridors, dedicated freight lines, a future that didn&#8217;t look like 1853\u2014they had to burn the old timetable.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">They temporarily stopped optimizing the certain to start pursuing the possible.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">Most of us don\u2019t have the luxury of cancelling 500 trains. But every single morning, when we walk into that office, open that laptop, or take that call, we face the same dilemma. And tragically, 99% of us reach for the wrong hat.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em><strong>Pursuing the possible. Or optimizing the certain?<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\">These are not the same game. Not even close cousins. They are fundamentally different species of thinking \u2014 and confusing one for the other is how brilliant people spend six months perfecting something that should never have existed in the first place.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Some Food For Torque<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Most execs are hat-blind, <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>mistaking motion for momentum<\/em><\/span>. You&#8217;re in a huddle, handed a &#8220;disrupt supply chain&#8221; brief. Is it\u00a0<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>possible<\/em><\/span>\u00a0pursuit\u2014like <em><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Elon Musk&#8217;s<\/span><\/em> 2008 <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Tesla<\/em><\/span> gamble, Starman-ing a roadster into space to mock Detroit&#8217;s dinosaurs? Or certain <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>optimization<\/em><\/span>, like <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Indra Nooyi<\/em><\/span> at <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>PepsiCo<\/em><\/span>, who recalibrated <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Frito-Lay&#8217;s<\/em><\/span> salt grams to dodge obesity lawsuits while juicing margins 20%? Wrong hat, and your &#8220;innovation&#8221; flops into mediocrity.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em><strong>Rarefied Air: The Global &amp; The Desi<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">Look at <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Spotify<\/em><\/span>. They don\u2019t just throw engineers into a room. They formalize the madness with their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlassian.com\/agile\/agile-at-scale\/spotify#:~:text=The%20Spotify%20model%20is%20a,autonomy%2C%20culture%2C%20and%20networked%20collaboration.&amp;text=It%20organizes%20teams%20into%20squads%2C,allowing%20flexibility%20and%20rapid%20learning.\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>&#8220;Squad&#8221;<\/em><\/span><\/a> model. But more importantly, they have a concept of &#8220;Missionaries&#8221; (Possibilists) versus &#8220;Mercenaries&#8221; (Optimizers). Mercenaries build what they\u2019re told; missionaries pursue a vision. When Spotify decides to disrupt the podcast industry, they don\u2019t ask their payment gateway team (Optimizers) to do it. They create a separate tribe of Possibilists. They separate the hats.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">Closer home, look at<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em> Zoho.<\/em><\/span> While the SaaS world was busy optimizing the &#8220;growth at all costs&#8221; model (chasing valuation certainties), <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sridhar_Vembu\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Sridhar Vembu<\/em><\/span><\/a> was pursuing the possible in rural <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Tenkasi<\/em><\/span>. He took off the hat of the &#8220;Global CEO&#8221; and put on the hat of the &#8220;Rural Innovation Evangelist.&#8221; He is optimizing for sustainability and talent distribution, not just quarterly profits. It looks inefficient to the Optimizer. It looks like the future to the Possibilist.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Before you get to work, it&#8217;s worth deciding which hat you&#8217;re being asked to wear<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>The Optimizer<\/em><\/span> is a beautiful creature. Precise. Efficient. Ruthlessly good at squeezing the last drop of performance from what already works. <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Maruti Suzuki<\/em> <\/span>did this for decades \u2014 not by reinventing the car, but by making the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>affordable<\/em> <\/span>car so absurdly reliable that an entire nation trusted it with their lives and their salaries. Hat: Optimization. Mission accomplished.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>The Explorer <\/em><\/span>is a different beast entirely. Messy. Comfortable with being wrong. Willing to burn a map that&#8217;s no longer useful. <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Sonam Wangchuk<\/em><\/span> \u2014 the real-world inspiration behind <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>3 Idiots<\/em><\/span> \u2014 didn&#8217;t optimize education in Ladakh. He blew the premise up. He asked: what if learning wasn&#8217;t the problem, but the location of learning was? Result: <a href=\"https:\/\/secmol.org\/\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>SECMOL<\/em><\/span><\/a>, a school powered by the sun, built by students, and run on radical curiosity. Hat: Possibility. Category created.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\">The catastrophe happens when you hand an Explorer&#8217;s brief to an Optimizer \u2014 or worse, when nobody tells the room which hat is on the table.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">The Kodak (Un)moment<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\"><em><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Eastman Kodak<\/span> <\/em>had 140,000 employees and invented the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>digital camera.<\/em><\/span> They then handed it to optimizers. &#8220;How does this help us sell more film?&#8221; Wrong hat. Wrong game. Bankruptcy filed: 2012.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]\">Meanwhile, out of the <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>IIT Madras incubation cell in Chennai<\/em><\/span>, <em><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">KLN Sai Prasanth<\/span><\/em> and his co-founders at <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Muse Wearables<\/em><\/span> weren&#8217;t optimizing wearables \u2014 they were asking whether Indian bodies, with different health concerns and contexts, needed entirely different biosensors and form factors. Explorer hat. The result: the world&#8217;s first payment-enabled hybrid smartwatch, now selling across 70 countries \u2014 backed, delightfully, by none other than <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>SS Rajamouli.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Offering a Diagnostic<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1800\" data-end=\"1896\">If your meeting begins with: \u201cLet\u2019s improve conversion by 2%\u201d<br data-start=\"1863\" data-end=\"1866\" \/>You\u2019re optimizing the certain.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1898\" data-end=\"1987\">\n<p data-start=\"1898\" data-end=\"1987\">If it begins with: \u201cWhat if our category didn\u2019t exist?\u201d<br data-start=\"1955\" data-end=\"1958\" \/>You\u2019re pursuing the possible.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1989\" data-end=\"2041\">\n<p data-start=\"1989\" data-end=\"2041\">One is compound interest. The other is quantum leap.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em><strong>The &#8216;Provoke&#8217; Framework: The Hat Check<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">So, how do you decide which hat to wear before the daily grind seduces you into the wrong one? You need a &#8220;<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Hat Check<\/em><\/span>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\"><strong>The Morning Compass:<\/strong>\u00a0Before you open your emails (the Optimizer\u2019s favorite drug), ask: &#8220;What is the one problem today that, if solved, would make every other decision irrelevant?&#8221; If that problem is about efficiency, wear the Optimizer&#8217;s cap. If it\u2019s about relevance or reinvention, grab the Possibilist\u2019s fedora.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\"><strong>The 80\/20 Flip:<\/strong>\u00a0Devote 80% of your energy to your job description (Optimizing the certain). But fiercely guard 20% of your time for your &#8220;Future Description&#8221; (Pursuing the possible). Google famously tried this with 20% time. It failed when they started optimizing that time. Protect it with your life.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>3.The Funeral Test:<\/strong>\u00a0Imagine your role or company died today. Would the obituary read, &#8220;It ran perfectly, on time, until the very end&#8221;? Or would it read, &#8220;It dared to go where nothing was certain&#8221;?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em><strong>The Final Act<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">The Indian Railways tracks are clear again. The optimized trains are running. But they carved out space for the possible. That is the art.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">You can\u2019t wear both hats at once. They sit differently. One squeezes the brain for dopamine hits of checking boxes. The other expands it with the anxiety of the unknown.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ds-markdown-paragraph\">Today, before you &#8220;get to work,&#8221; pause at the door. Look at the rack. Are you being paid to turn the crank, or are you being paid to imagine a new machine? Choose wisely. <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>The world has plenty of optimizers. It\u2019s starving for possibilists.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><em><strong>PS:<\/strong> On a completely different note,\u00a0<\/em>I am delighted to share that<em>\u00a0<\/em>my other blog\u00a0<em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/build-relation\/newsletter-follow?entityUrn=7055058948088901632\"><strong>SOHB(State Of The Heart Branding) Story<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0<\/em>is now a Podcast as well<em>.\u00a0<\/em>You can access it on these links below:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><em>YouTube:\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@SOHBStory\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@SOHBStory\/videos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1772534186743000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1csy4JV49iHcSokKd6rYpd\"><em>https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@<wbr \/>SOHBStory\/videos<\/em><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><em>Spotify<\/em>:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/3POSy0dixh5r7TjOFgfC4e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/3POSy0dixh5r7TjOFgfC4e&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1772534186743000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3EbomCVjhcYS1jXdRoH3EZ\">https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/<wbr \/>episode\/3POSy0dixh5r7TjOFgfC4e<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;\"><em>Instagram<\/em>:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/reel\/DT8D70FDWms\/?igsh=MWc4enNzaXBhaHQzOA==\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/reel\/DT8D70FDWms\/?igsh%3DMWc4enNzaXBhaHQzOA%3D%3D&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1772534186743000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0xnQEkcSIj-rQTOwv95Di3\">https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/<wbr \/>reel\/DT8D70FDWms\/?igsh=<wbr \/>MWc4enNzaXBhaHQzOA==<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"m_5757586965923188704m_6575290725987885572ember2777\"><em>Amazon:<\/em>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/music.amazon.com\/podcasts\/ab0afb48-e3d2-4cf7-8279-7392d97d1bcd\/episodes\/509a93a3-6da3-48bb-b812-b34354ce8edf\/the-curiosity-flip-why-uncertainty-can-be-your-unfair-advantage-candid-sohb-story-with-raj-kamble\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/music.amazon.com\/podcasts\/ab0afb48-e3d2-4cf7-8279-7392d97d1bcd\/episodes\/509a93a3-6da3-48bb-b812-b34354ce8edf\/the-curiosity-flip-why-uncertainty-can-be-your-unfair-advantage-candid-sohb-story-with-raj-kamble&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1772534186743000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1L8oVtXotvZHWd0hPo5Jo1\">https:\/\/music.amazon.<wbr \/>com\/podcasts\/ab0afb48-e3d2-<wbr \/>4cf7-8279-7392d97d1bcd\/<wbr \/>episodes\/509a93a3-6da3-48bb-<wbr \/>b812-b34354ce8edf\/the-<wbr \/>curiosity-flip-why-<wbr \/>uncertainty-can-be-your-<wbr \/>unfair-advantage-candid-sohb-<wbr \/>story-with-raj-kamble<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Before you get to work, it\u2019s worth deciding which hat you\u2019re being asked to wear\u2026 pursuing the possible or optimizing the certain. &nbsp; Let\u2019s start with a funeral. Not to be morbid, but to make a point. &nbsp; In the summer of 2017, the Indian Railways\u2014that 170-year-old behemoth of British-era engineering\u2014did something unthinkable. They &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/2026\/03\/02\/are-you-painting-the-possible-or-polishing-the-predictable\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Are You Painting the Possible or Polishing the Predictable?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2500","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2500"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2501,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2500\/revisions\/2501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sureshdinakaran.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}